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IN THIS ISSUE

Iraq: Missing the Forest for the IEDs
By Geoffrey Batt, Euphrates Advisors
Winners and Losers
By Zeke Ashton, Centaur Capital Partners
Research Report: Kirkland’s
By Boyar’s Intrinsic Value Research
Mark Boyar Bullish on Bank of America
By Len Palis, Staff Writer
Book Excerpt: The AIG Story
By Maurice R. Greenberg and Lawrence A. Cunningham

FINANCIAL AND BUSINESS VIDEOS

  • By Barrons
  • By FT.com - Financials

VALUE INVESTING ARTICLES

VALUE INVESTING VIDEOS

    THIS MONTH'S ISSUE

    Winners and Losers
    By Zeke Ashton, Centaur Capital Partners

    Zeke Ashton will be speaking at the upcoming Value Investing Congress taking place May 6th & 7th in Las Vegas. To learn more and for a special discount to attend, please visit www.ValueInvestingCongress.com/VIL.

    Overall, we are satisfied with how the Fund’s long book performed in 2012, as it slightly out-performed the S&P500 despite being only 75-80% invested on average during the year. The biggest winner for the Fund in 2012 was Ancestry.com, and other major contributing positions were Tetragon Financial, Coinstar, Iconix, and Diamond Offshore Drilling.

    The largest loss experienced in the portfolio in 2012 was due to our investment in Dell. Dell represents a bit of a unique experience for us, in that it is extremely rare for us to suffer a bad outcome by investing in a business at a low-single digit multiple to free cash flow that also has a very strong balance sheet. In reviewing our work on Dell, we think that our initial purchase decision was reasonably well supported by the available information, and at one point in early 2012 Dell was actually a large winning position for us. However, we believe that one of the problems with our valuation work on Dell was that we anchored heavily on the numbers produced by our discounted cash flow (DCF) model, which produced fair value estimates of $20+ even when using what we felt were pessimistic future cash flow projections.

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    LEAVE A COMMENT
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    Comment
    Sun February 17, 2013, 11:32:20
    Re Zeke's thoughts on the Southeastern-led rejection of the buyout:
    Zeke can comment on the detailed reasoning provided by Southeastern in their SEC filing that Dell is worth $24. Presumably, Zeke has parsed and evaluated each of their arguments.

    Publishing his counter argument or changed opinion would surely be of educational and practical benefit to many investors.
    xxx
    Comment
    Thu February 14, 2013, 12:26:28
    It would be interesting to know Zeke's thoughts on the Southeastern-led rejection of the buyout. It seems many value investors are using a much higher value for Dell than Zeke's appraisal.